Waveform accuracy and systematic uncertainties in current gravitational wave observations

ORAL

Abstract

The post-Newtonian formalism plays an integral role in the models used to extract information from gravitational wave data, but models that incorporate this formalism are inherently approximations. Disagreement between an approximate model and nature will produce mismodeling biases in the parameters inferred from data, introducing systematic error. Through an injection and recovery campaign, we undertake a proof-of-principle study of such systematic error. In particular, we study how unknown, but calibrated, higher-order post-Newtonian corrections to the gravitational wave phase impact systematic error in recovered parameters. We consider injected data of non-spinning binaries as detected by a current, second-generation network of ground-based observatories and recover them with models of varying PN order in the phase. We will show that the truncation of higher order (>3.5) post-Newtonian corrections to the phase can produce significant systematic error even at signal-to-noise ratios of current detector networks. Additionally, we will present a method to mitigate systematic error by marginalizing over our ignorance in the waveform through the inclusion of higher-order post-Newtonian coefficients as new model parameters and show that this method can reduce systematic error greatly at the cost of increasing statistical error.

*NSF Grants PHY-1759615 and PHY-1949838

Presenters

  • Caroline B Owen

    • University of Illinois at Urbana-Champai

Authors

  • Caroline B Owen

    • University of Illinois at Urbana-Champai
  • Carl-Johan O Haster

    • University of Nevada, Las Vegas
    • University of Nevada Las Vegas
  • Scott E Perkins

    • Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
  • Neil J Cornish

    • Montana State University
  • Nicolas Yunes

    • University of Illinois at Urbana-Champai
    • University of Illinois Urbana Champaign