Switching and control in stochastic double gyres

ORAL

Abstract

We consider the problem of stochastic transport in a driven double gyre with time dependent basin boundaries. Noise typically creates almost invariant sets, or meta-stable states. Mixing occurs between these states as a result of stochastic transport. Using stochastic Markov operator theory, we approximate the almost invariant sets and regions with most probable switching. These sets define regions for which control perturbations can facilitate or prevent switching. Switching rates using these control schemes will be derived and compared to numerical simulations. We show how scaling laws change exponentially in the presence of control when compared to the natural switching rate.

Authors

  • Lora Billings

    Montclair State University

  • Eric Forgoston

    Naval Research Lab, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, US Naval Research Laboratory

  • Ira Schwartz

    Naval Research Lab, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, US Naval Research Laboratory, Naval Research Laboratory