Evolutionary dynamics of range expansions with curved fronts and inflationary directed percolation

ORAL

Abstract

We compare the evolutionary dynamics of populations expanding into a new territory with flat and curved fronts. When actively reproducing individuals confined to a thin, uniform population front experience deleterious mutations, the evolutionary dynamics fall into the directed percolation (DP) universality class. At the DP phase transition, the selective advantage of the fit individuals balances the deleterious mutation rate. Curvature in the front changes the dynamics: Sectors of the population become causally disconnected after a time $t_* = R_0/v$, where $R_0$ is the initial radius of the population and $v$ is the radial front propagation speed. The reproducing population size increases, creating an inflationary effect that prevents the loss of fit individuals due to sector boundary diffusion and sector interactions. We develop a generalization of the Domany-Kinzel model on amorphous, isotropic lattices to simulate radial expansions. We find scaling functions characterizing the effects of inflation at criticality. We also discuss analytic results for two-point correlation functions and survival probabilities in the two limiting cases of no mutations (compact DP)and no selection.

Authors

  • Maxim Lavrentovich

    Harvard University

  • Kirill Korolev

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT

  • David R. Nelson

    Department of Physics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, Harvard University, Department of Physics and FAS Center for Systems Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA