Demonstration of a scaling advantage for a quantum annealer over simulated annealing

A complete determination of the optimal time-to-solution (TTS) using the D-Wave quantum annealing processors has not been possible to date, preventing definitive conclusions about the presence of a scaling advantage. The main technical obstacle has been the inability to verify an optimal annealing time within the available range. Here we overcome this obstacle and present a class of problem instances for which we observe an optimal annealing time using a D-Wave 2000Q processor. This allows us to perform an optimal TTS benchmarking analysis and perform a comparison to several classical algorithms, including simulated annealing, spin-vector Monte Carlo, and discrete-time simulated quantum annealing. We establish the first example of a scaling advantage for an experimental quantum annealer over simulated annealing, with 95% confidence, over the range of problem sizes that we can test. However, we do not find evidence for a quantum speedup: simulated quantum annealing exhibits the best scaling by a significant margin.