Diversity begets stability: sublinear growth and competitive coexistence across ecosystems

ORAL

Abstract

The unfolding global biodiversity crisis brings special urgency to understanding how diverse ecosystems are naturally stabilized. Whereas conventional wisdom and empirical observation suggest that stability increases with diversity, ecological theory has long made the opposite prediction, leading to the longstanding "diversity-stability debate". Here we show this puzzle is resolved through a model where growth scales as a sublinear power law with biomass (exponent < 1), exhibiting a form of population self-regulation analogous to models of individual ontogeny. We show that competitive interactions in a community with sublinear growth do not lead to exclusion, but instead promote stability at higher diversity. Our model realigns theory with classic observations and large-scale macroecological patterns. However, it makes an unsettling prediction: biodiversity loss may accelerate the destabilization of ecosystems.

* Funding for this work was provided by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation in the framework of the Sofja Kovalevskaja Award endowed by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (M. S., O. M.), by an Alexander von Humboldt Research Fellowship (I. A. H.), and by NSF BIO OCE grant 2023474 (O. M.).

Publication: Ian A. Hatton*, Onofrio Mazzarisi*, Ada Altieri, and Matteo Smerlak. Diversity begets
stability: sublinear growth and competitive stabilization across ecosystems. Under review
in Science, 2023 (* These authors contributed equally to this work)

Presenters

  • Onofrio Mazzarisi

    The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP); National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS)

Authors

  • Onofrio Mazzarisi

    The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP); National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS)

  • Ian A Hatton

    Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, H3A 0E8, Canada

  • Ada Altieri

    Université Paris Cité, Laboratoire Matière et Systèmes Complexes (MSC), Université Paris Cité CNRS, 75013 Paris, France

  • Matteo Smerlak

    Laboratoire de Biophysique et Evolution, UMR 8231 CBI, ESPCI Paris, PSL Research University, 75005 Paris, France